My Account Log Out

reorder

Tom Brady

Tom Brady Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Tom Brady Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-178).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -176 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -178.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (6.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.4% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Rams have stacked the box against opponents on just 5.9% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 32.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to notch 1.4 carries this week, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.

Tom Brady has grinded out a measly 0.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest figures in the NFL among quarterbacks (3rd percentile).

Tom Brady has been among the weakest QBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging just 0.25 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 7th percentile.

More Tom Brady Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™