My Account Log Out

reorder

Tom Brady

Tom Brady Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Tom Brady Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+122/-164).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -164.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (7.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (1.4% in games he has played).

The Atlanta Falcons defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding 5.30 yards-per-carry.

The Atlanta Falcons linebackers rank as the 8th-worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 5th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to notch 1.8 rush attempts this week, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.

Tom Brady has picked up a measly 0.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the league among QBs (3rd percentile).

Tom Brady has been among the weakest QBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 1.26 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 19th percentile.

More Tom Brady Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™