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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Tom Brady Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+145/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense has produced the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.40 yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 3rd-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 36.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to garner 1.4 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Tom Brady is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for a measly 1.0% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s rush attempts this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Tom Brady has grinded out a measly 0.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the smallest marks in the league among QBs (3rd percentile).

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