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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tom Brady Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+196/-284).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -254 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -284.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (140 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends profile as the 8th-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to garner 1.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • Tom Brady is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 1.2% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s carries this year, putting him in the 10th percentile among QBs.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

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