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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tom Brady Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 250.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 252.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 250.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 40.9 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Tom Brady has passed for substantially fewer yards per game (286.0) this season than he did last season (319.0).

Tom Brady has been among the worst per-play QBs in football this year, averaging just 6.56 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 18th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in football versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year (67.7%).

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency this year, yielding 7.19 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.73 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.

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