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Tom Brady

Tom Brady Interceptions
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tom Brady Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tom Brady to attempt 41.1 passes this week, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Tom Brady has thrown a mere 0.18 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 94th percentile among QBs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have intercepted 1.40 targets per game this year, grading out as the 3rd-best defense in the NFL by this standard.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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