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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 132.8 offensive plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this week's contest, T.J. Hockenson is anticipated by the model to finish in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.6 targets.

The Rams linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

T.J. Hockenson's 41.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 51.5.

T.J. Hockenson's receiving performance has worsened this year, compiling a measly 4.1 adjusted catches vs 6.2 last year.

T.J. Hockenson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 75.2% to 68.7%.

This year, the formidable Rams defense has yielded a measly 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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