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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.85 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the moment.

The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 6.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

T.J. Hockenson's 41.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 51.5.

T.J. Hockenson's receiving skills have worsened this year, accumulating a mere 4.5 adjusted catches compared to 6.2 last year.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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