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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-146/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.

The projections expect T.J. Hockenson to accumulate 6.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

With an excellent 5.9 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson stands among the best TEs in the pass game in football.

T.J. Hockenson's 82.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season represents a material progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 75.2% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 9th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a measly 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.9 per game) this year.

T.J. Hockenson's 35.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 51.5.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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