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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.

The projections expect T.J. Hockenson to garner 6.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.

T.J. Hockenson has been in the 99th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 50.5 mark since the start of last season.

With an excellent 6.1 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson places as one of the top pass-catching TEs in football.

T.J. Hockenson's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 75.2% to 86.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.2 per game) this year.

The Titans safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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