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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Nick Mullens in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Vikings to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to garner 8.0 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.5%) to TEs this year (69.5%).

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