T.J. Hockenson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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T.J. Hockenson

NFL · Player Props

T.J. Hockenson

TE · Minnesota Vikings

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
This week, T.J. Hockenson is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 8.5 targets.
T.J. Hockenson's 54.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 43.5.

Favors Under

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