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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-185/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

The model projects T.J. Hockenson to accrue 10.4 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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