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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.

The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 10.3 targets.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point rise in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, T.J. Hockenson has been more prominently used in his team's passing attack.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

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