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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-109/-131).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Minnesota Vikings have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • T.J. Hockenson has run a route on 80.5% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Vikings are a 4.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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