T.J. Hockenson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

T.J. Hockenson

NFL · Player Props

T.J. Hockenson

TE · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.7 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Favors Under

T.J. Hockenson's 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 48.2.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
T.J. Hockenson's play as a receiver has diminished this season, accumulating just 3.8 yards per game vs 5.0 last season.
T.J. Hockenson's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.4% to 57.0%.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (68%) versus TEs this year (68.0%).

More T.J. Hockenson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow