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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

T.J. Hockenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 7th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects T.J. Hockenson to total 7.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

T.J. Hockenson's 40.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 48.2.

The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

T.J. Hockenson's receiving talent has worsened this season, totaling a measly 2.4 yards per game compared to 5.0 last season.

The New York Jets defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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