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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.

In this game, T.J. Hockenson is predicted by the model to find himself in the 95th percentile among TEs with 6.7 targets.

This year, the deficient Green Bay Packers defense has been gouged for a whopping 65.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 2nd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

T.J. Hockenson has totaled far fewer air yards this year (50.0 per game) than he did last year (63.0 per game).

T.J. Hockenson's 40.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 51.5.

T.J. Hockenson's 46.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 63.0 rate.

With a lackluster 3.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) this year, T.J. Hockenson has been as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in football in picking up extra yardage.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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