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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.85 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Minnesota Vikings as the 10th-fastest in football (in a neutral context) at the moment.

The leading projections forecast T.J. Hockenson to earn 6.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

T.J. Hockenson has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game).

T.J. Hockenson's 41.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 51.5.

T.J. Hockenson's 49.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a substantial drop-off in his receiving prowess over last season's 63.0 figure.

T.J. Hockenson profiles as one of the bottom TEs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 16th percentile.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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