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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Tennessee Titans vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (62.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings.
  • The projections expect T.J. Hockenson to garner 6.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile among TEs.
  • T.J. Hockenson has posted a massive 62.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 100th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • T.J. Hockenson has been in the 99th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 50.5 mark since the start of last season.
  • With a fantastic 62.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (98th percentile) since the start of last season, T.J. Hockenson has been as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6 points.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.3 plays on offense called: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (just 55.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.2 per game) this year.
  • T.J. Hockenson's 2.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a substantial reduction in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 3.5% rate.

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