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T.J. Hockenson
NFL · Player Props
T.J. Hockenson
TE · Minnesota Vikings
Receiving Yards
Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM EST
NFL Props T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -114.

Favors Over
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 62.9% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are projected by the projection model to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
  • The predictive model expects T.J. Hockenson to total 8.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
  • T.J. Hockenson's 40.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 93rd percentile for TEs.
Favors Under
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The Vikings have called the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 56.2 plays per game.
  • T.J. Hockenson has notched far fewer air yards this season (49.0 per game) than he did last season (59.0 per game).
  • T.J. Hockenson's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this year, averaging just 4.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.18 figure last year.
  • The Bears pass defense has performed very well when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
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