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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Vikings to pass on 67.9% of their downs: the highest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, T.J. Hockenson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to position himself in the 99th percentile among tight ends with 8.6 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.5 plays per game.

T.J. Hockenson has notched far fewer air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (59.0 per game).

T.J. Hockenson's 4.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a a significant diminishment in his efficiency in space over last year's 6.2% rate.

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.

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