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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
  • The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • In this contest, T.J. Hockenson is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 10.3 targets.
  • When it comes to air yards, T.J. Hockenson ranks in the towering 100th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a colossal 65.0 per game.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point rise in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, T.J. Hockenson has been more prominently used in his team's passing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.
  • T.J. Hockenson's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this season, averaging a mere 3.99 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.18 rate last season.

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