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T.J. Hockenson
NFL · Player Props
T.J. Hockenson
TE · Detroit Lions
Receiving Yards
Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022 Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC
NFL Props T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -141.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects T.J. Hockenson to accumulate 6.4 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among tight ends.
  • T.J. Hockenson has accrued a monstrous 52.0 air yards per game this year: 95th percentile among TEs.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.4% pass rate.
  • T.J. Hockenson's 40.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 48.2.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • T.J. Hockenson's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 74.4% to 59.7%.
  • The Miami Dolphins defense has conceded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 45.0) versus TEs this year.
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