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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
T.J. Hockenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 41.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • T.J. Hockenson has run a route on 84.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
  • THE BLITZ projects T.J. Hockenson to garner 6.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • T.J. Hockenson has compiled a monstrous 51.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • T.J. Hockenson's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.4% to 49.6%.
  • T.J. Hockenson's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a mere 5.22 yards-per-target compared to a 7.12 rate last year.
  • T.J. Hockenson has been among the bottom TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 3.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 9th percentile.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.40 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in football.

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