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T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

T.J. Hockenson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-270).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

T.J. Hockenson has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.4% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

T.J. Hockenson has accrued a monstrous 49.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among TEs.

T.J. Hockenson's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 74.4% to 78.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.

T.J. Hockenson's 40.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 48.2.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts safeties profile as the 6th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More T.J. Hockenson Player Props

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