T.J. Hockenson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

T.J. Hockenson

NFL · Player Props

T.J. Hockenson

TE · Minnesota Vikings

Receiving TD

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

T.J. Hockenson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+211/-322).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -318 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -322.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
T.J. Hockenson has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 24.6% this year, which ranks in the 95th percentile among TEs.
T.J. Hockenson has notched a whopping 48.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among TEs.
T.J. Hockenson's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 74.4% to 79.0%.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
T.J. Hockenson's 40.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 48.2.
The Minnesota Vikings offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets defense has given up the least touchdowns through the air in football to tight ends: 0.00 per game this year.
The New York Jets defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

More T.J. Hockenson Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow