Tim Boyle Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tim Boyle

NFL · Player Props

Tim Boyle

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Tim Boyle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have 131.6 plays on offense called: the 4th-most out of all the games this week.
While Tim Boyle has been responsible for 2.3% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of New York's rushing attack this week at 12.4%.

Favors Under

The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Tim Boyle.
The Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to run on 40.2% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 54.9 per game on average).
The New York offensive line profiles as the worst in the league last year in run-blocking.

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