Tez Johnson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tez Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Tez Johnson

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 5, 2025

Updated Oct 5, 2025 7:47 PM EST

Analysis

Tez Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-1500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1950 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1500.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.2% red zone pass rate.
The Buccaneers offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in football (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.75 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 5th-most in football.
This year, the strong Seattle Seahawks run defense has surrendered a measly 0.00 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the best rate in football.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.50 per game this year.

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