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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

In this contest, Terry McLaurin is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.8 targets.

Terry McLaurin's 73.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 57.1.

When talking about pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Commanders ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

With a terrific 4.9 adjusted catches per game (86th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin places as one of the leading WRs in the league in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Commanders as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to play at the 11th-worst pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.88 seconds per play accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.2%) versus wide receivers this year (61.2%).

The Bears safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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