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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect Terry McLaurin to garner 7.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Terry McLaurin's 79.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 57.1.

The Commanders O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

With a terrific 4.5 adjusted catches per game (81st percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

This year, the daunting Cleveland Browns defense has given up a paltry 55.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the lowest rate in football.

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