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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-163/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -163.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Commanders this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).

The projections expect Terry McLaurin to notch 7.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.

Terry McLaurin's 63.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 90th percentile for wideouts.

Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Commanders to call the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Eagles, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 27.8 per game) this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.4%) vs. WRs this year (61.4%).

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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