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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

The predictive model expects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Terry McLaurin's 63.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 90th percentile for WRs.

Terry McLaurin is positioned as one of the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 4.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 51.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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