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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).

The projections expect Terry McLaurin to accrue 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Terry McLaurin's 65.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 57.1.

Terry McLaurin comes in as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a stellar 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Commanders to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the leading projections forecast this game (with an average of 26.34 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish tempo on the slate this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (60.8%) to WRs this year (60.8%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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