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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are expected by the projection model to run 65.6 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-most among all teams this week.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a whopping 58.5 per game on average).

The projections expect Terry McLaurin to accumulate 6.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wideouts.

Terry McLaurin ranks in the 90th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 61.8 mark this year.

With an outstanding 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (81st percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin rates among the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Commanders being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game versus the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.9%) versus wideouts this year (60.9%).

The Tennessee Titans linebackers profile as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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