My Account Log Out

reorder

Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are projected by the model to run 68.6 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).

This week, Terry McLaurin is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.8 targets.

Terry McLaurin's 64.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 57.1.

Terry McLaurin grades out as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Commanders, who are a huge favorite by 10.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 47.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.0 per game) this year.

More Terry McLaurin Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™