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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-141/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -141.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -4-point underdogs.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may decline.

The predictive model expects Terry McLaurin to garner 7.8 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile among WRs.

Terry McLaurin's 68.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 57.1.

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 29.13 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.2%) to wide receivers this year (60.2%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Philadelphia's CB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the best in football.

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