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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+114/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Terry McLaurin to total 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.

Terry McLaurin slots into the 83rd percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a monstrous 57.1 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Terry McLaurin's 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a substantial drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 67.4% figure.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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