Terry McLaurin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 3:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.5% of their chances: the highest rate among all teams this week.
As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
The Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.

Favors Under

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Seattle's group of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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