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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-185/+155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.0 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accrue 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack this week (21.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (16.2% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (68.5%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to call the 7th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
  • The Washington Commanders O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on just 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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