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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Terry McLaurin has run a route on 93.8% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.3 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Terry McLaurin's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 61.8% to 56.7%.

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Washington Commanders have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 12.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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