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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to garner 8.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among WRs.

THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game this week (27.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (21.6% in games he has played).

Terry McLaurin has been among the top WRs in the game this year, averaging a stellar 4.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.11 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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