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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

This week, Terry McLaurin is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.6 targets.

After averaging 93.0 air yards per game last season, Terry McLaurin has been rising this season, now averaging 113.0 per game.

Terry McLaurin's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 57.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Commanders are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Commanders to pass on 52.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

Terry McLaurin's 2.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a noteable decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.2% figure.

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