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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Commanders, who are big -8-point underdogs.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game against the Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

Our trusted projections expect Terry McLaurin to accrue 7.8 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among WRs.

Terry McLaurin has notched quite a few more air yards this year (110.0 per game) than he did last year (93.0 per game).

Terry McLaurin's 80.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 57.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders as the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Commanders are forecasted by the projection model to call only 62.3 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Terry McLaurin's 50.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a material diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 60.0 mark.

Terry McLaurin's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this season, totaling just 6.94 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.00 mark last season.

Terry McLaurin's skills in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a mere 3.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.20 figure last year.

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