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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 56.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect Terry McLaurin to garner 7.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

In regards to air yards, Terry McLaurin ranks in the lofty 91st percentile among WRs this year, averaging a massive 93.0 per game.

Terry McLaurin's 79.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 57.1.

The Commanders O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

Terry McLaurin has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (43.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

Terry McLaurin's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his receiving proficiency over last season's 8.0 mark.

Terry McLaurin's 2.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a noteable drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.2% rate.

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