My Account Log Out

reorder

Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 65.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

The predictive model expects Terry McLaurin to accumulate 7.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Terry McLaurin has notched a massive 94.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Terry McLaurin's 63.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 90th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 51.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

This year, the imposing Falcons pass defense has given up the 3rd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a feeble 3.5 YAC.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Terry McLaurin Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™