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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Washington Commanders offensive approach to tilt 13.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Commanders as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects Terry McLaurin to total 7.7 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.

Terry McLaurin's 54.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 81st percentile for WRs.

The Commanders O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Commanders, who are favored by 3 points.

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.5 per game) this year.

After accumulating 88.0 air yards per game last season, Terry McLaurin has seen a big decrease this season, now sitting at 80.0 per game.

Terry McLaurin has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).

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