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Terry McLaurin

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.

The leading projections forecast Terry McLaurin to total 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among WRs.

After averaging 88.0 air yards per game last year, Terry McLaurin has been rising this year, currently pacing 99.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Terry McLaurin's 59.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a substantial drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 67.4% figure.

Terry McLaurin's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a significant regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 9.9 rate.

Terry McLaurin's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this year, totaling a measly 3.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.84 mark last year.

The Jets defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 97.0) vs. WRs this year.

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