Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
This game's line suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 64.5% of their chances: the highest rate among all teams this week.
As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.44 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-quickest in football (context-neutralized) right now.
The Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (38.0 per game) this year.

Favors Under

Terry McLaurin's 8.5 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a significant diminishment in his receiving skills over last season's 9.9 rate.
Terry McLaurin's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, accumulating just 4.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 5.84 rate last year.
The Seahawks pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the league.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Seattle's group of CBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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