Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Terry McLaurin

NFL · Player Props

Terry McLaurin

WR · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Terry McLaurin to accrue 7.4 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 5th-least in the league.
Terry McLaurin has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (82.0 per game) than he did last season (103.0 per game).
Terry McLaurin's 47.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 68.0.
The Washington Commanders offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has surrendered the least receiving yards per game in football (just 117.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

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